Its only the normal spring-training grind, building up arm strength, minor inflammation, no reason to think hell have to go on the IL, our trainers feel good about it. Gibson, who died last October, finished with 3,117. Theres a good chance no pitcher will again crack the 300-win plateau, a mark that has been achieved 24 times throughout the sports history. Listen to the Seeing Red podcast on the Cardinals, featuring Will Leitch and Miklasz. There is a trio of starting pitchers not yet Hall-eligible who rank somewhere between Gooden and WainwrightFlix Hernndez, Cole Hamels, and Chris Sale. Wainwrights candidacy as an elite pitcher of his time should strengthen during the five years between his retirement and his first appearance on a Hall of Fame ballot. Astros @ Cardinals. An Alternate Hall of Fame populated by a mathematical formula. No one should expect to make money from the picks and predictions discussed on this website. The two were teammates from 2005-07, and Rolen was out at third base when Wainwright recorded the final out of the 2006 World Series for the St. Louis Cardinals.. Information from The Associated Press was used in this report. Your login session has expired. But I just want to know how far back I would have to dig to find an age-40 season in which a pitcher was good enough to get Adam Wainwright to this level of Hall of Fame worthiness. Verlanders resume is impressive; hes led the league in strikeouts four times, wins twice, won a pitching triple crown, and thrown two no-hitters. Although Gooden was one-and-done when he reached the ballot in 2006, his extraordinary peak meant he probably deserved more of a look. The Cardinals are calm. But the Cardinals and the pitcher Cardinals changed the schedule for his first start; Flaherty threw on the backfields instead. He became a member of the Cardinals when the Atlanta Braves traded him for J.D. Adam Wainwright 141-80, 3.23 ERA, 1,547 strikeouts, 124 adjusted ERA 3x All-Star, 2 Gold Gloves, 2 rings Injuries have plagued Adam Wainwright more than the other pitchers on this list; he's going to be 36 in a few months and he's logged just 1,800 innings due to Tommy John surgery (2011) and an Achilles tendon rupture (2015). Albert Pujols is, barring something unforseen, going to easily sail into the National Baseball Hall of FameI always feel the need to add a caveat since uncodified steroid accusations have already kept one of the few modern hitters unreservedly superior to Pujols out of the Hall of Fame, though seeing David Ortiz make it does give me hope that Albert Pujols being a nice guy that everyone in baseball media seems to like would provide sufficient cushion to whatever random conjecture somebody wants to throw out into the discourse. While it seems impossible to envision it now, Wainwright was not always a member of the St. Louis Cardinals. Hey, at least the Cardinals added a proven, quality big-league starting pitcher this past offseason. David Price is older than he seems; hes already 32 in a few months with just 122 career wins. Heres a report on Wainwrights Thursday start against the Astros from The Athletics Katie Woo: The velocity on all five of the pitches in his mix averaged between 3-4 mph slower than their average readings in 2022. St. Louis Cardinals news fromFanSided Daily, Former San Francisco Giants third baseman Pablo Sandoval heading to LBPRC, Aroldis Chapmans time with New York Yankees comes to inglorious end, Wild Card wrap-up: Mets, Cardinals regular-season paper tigers, Opening Odds for MLB Division Series (Every Team's Odds to Win the ALDS, NLCS), St. Louis Cardinals: Oli Marmol's perfect quote about Wild Card Game 2, Phillies-Cardinals: Bryce Harper wants just 1 thing from Yadier Molina, Decision points: The key moments from Friday's MLB Wild Card games. Drew move to Atlanta. Hes still going strong, as hes tops in the NL in wins (8) in 2017. Not an injury issue? Hes got a long ways to go to reach 200 wins (he has 112), but hes already at 2,031 strikeouts. If he can maintain this kind of dominance for a few more years, hell get to Cooperstown. MLB starting pitcher who won a World Series Championship with the St. Louis Cardinals in 2006 and was a member of the Cardinals . The Cardinals looked like one of the best teams in the National League throughout the 2022 regular season, finishing with a record of 93-69, winning the NL Central Division in the process. A couple of guys are sore but its OK, everything is fine, nothing to worry about, dont know why the media is making a fuss over this, were just being careful, just holding the pitcher back by a day to be on the safe side, hes looking great, hes getting his work in, theres no need to push it. The Cardinals trailed 5-0 on a pair of home runs by Tyrone Taylor, but St. Louis rallied to win its 12th straight, 8-5. Will the games most enigmatic Hall of Fame candidate, a pending free agent this winter, stick around to get it? Privacy Policy As if on schedule, we have our first spring-training round of Is Anything Wrong? with the pitcher. The 40-year-old right-hander became the ninth active pitcher with 2,000. 34. Actually, it's two starting pitchers: Jack Flaherty and Adam Wainwright. This is the first time since 2010 that all three are in . (Beltran) was frozen on an 0-2 Adam Wainwright curveball with the bases loaded in the bottom of the 9th. Only Clemens, Johnson, Carlton and Greg Maddux are the only pitchers who have won more. How many times have we heard a version of this spin when a St. Louis pitcher has some discomfort or just needs a little time to build himself up in spring training? Just want to take care of some minor inflammation after he ramped up his throwing and pitch counts. Adam Wainwright Future Hall of Fame Candidates: N.L. I try to stay out of it as much as possible.. He missed large chunks of his playing career due to injuries, and while this has not always been a deal-breaker for Cooperstown, Wainwrights perfectly fine peak was hardly that of go-to example Sandy Koufax. If hes still got the stuff and durability to get to 3,000, the rest of the numbers might fall into place. His induction was most likely heavily influenced by his passing, but I think sets the bar for what a pitcher needs to have accomplished in recent years. Are there baseball seasons good enough to get Adam Wainwright past Dwight Gooden? Adam Wainwright was glad to see Jason Isringhausen enter the Cardinals Hall of Fame: "He had a profound impact on my career and helped me dramatically." 141-80, 3.23 ERA, 1,547 strikeouts, 124 adjusted ERA. Be the first one to comment on this story. Still, just one top-10 Cy Young award finish wont get him in the Hall of Fame. Adam Wainwright Position: Pitcher Bats: Right Throws: Right 6-7 , 230lb (201cm, 104kg) Team: St. Louis Cardinals (majors) More bio, uniform, draft, salary info 3x All-Star 2006 World Series 2x Gold Glove Silver Slugger 60 50 Become a Stathead & surf this site ad-free. But is it a Hall of Fame caliber career? Brooklyn-based Jay Jaffe is a senior writer for FanGraphs, the author of The Cooperstown Casebook (Thomas Dunne Books, 2017) and the creator of the JAWS (Jaffe WAR Score) metric for Hall of Fame analysis. Jos Ramirez, third base (32.8 career | 31.5 Peak | 32.1 JAWS, +4.0 JAWS). Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window), Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window), Click to share on Flipboard (Opens in new window), Click to share on Reddit (Opens in new window), Click to email a link to a friend (Opens in new window). Even if he does that, hes well short of the JAWS standard or even the 55.7 career WAR of David Ortiz, plus he has the stigma of his 2013 PED suspension to overcome. Now, Adam Wainwright at any age, while once one of the best pitchers in the sport, never put a season quite that good. Is Adam Wainwright in the Hall of Fame? But over the last three seasons, Jack has pitched only 154 innings. 122-66, 3.24 ERA, 1,621 strikeouts, 123 adjusted ERA. For a five-year span from 2007-2011, CC Sabathia was regarded as one of the elite pitchers in the game, and he took three different teams to the postseason, winning a ring with the 2009 Yankees. 100-70, 2.99 ERA, 1,409 strikeouts, 123 adjusted ERA. When the Washington Nationals took Stephen Strasburg first overall in the 2009 draft, he was one of the most hyped prospects in the games history. His contract with Washington will keep him in a uniform through 2021, and by then, he should have a strong case. Keep your fingers crossed, St. Louis fans.. But until we see Jack pitching in games against opposing hitters in game conditions down there in Florida and recovering on time to do it again, and again, and again Ill have to take the wait-and-see approach. I like that its a round number, but I assure you that this is merely a coincidence. He made his 55 million dollar fortune with All-Star, St. Louis Cardinals, NL wins leader. He has been a recurring guest on MLB Network and a member of the BBWAA since 2011. For this exercise, Im focused mainly on mid- or late-career players rather than early-career ones. 76-43, 3.18 ERA, 1,183 strikeouts, 124 adjusted ERA. Actually, its two starting pitchers: Jack Flaherty and Adam Wainwright. Cardinals' Wainwright reaches 2,000 career K's. Adam Wainwright is going to have such an interesting Hall of Fame case once he retires. Wainwright went 41-28 with a 4.58 ERA (an ERA+ of 90, or 10 percent below league average) from 2016 through 2019. Its just hard to pitch that long nowadays, without injuries especially. All advice, including picks and predictions, is based on individual commentators opinions and not that of Minute Media or its related brands. He posted a 195-117 record with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.216 WHiP, striking out 2147 batters with 695 walks in his 2567.1 innings. All stats used here were sourced from FanGraphs, Baseball Reference, Stathead, Bill James Online, Fielding Bible, Baseball Prospectus, Baseball Savant, Brooks Baseball Net and Spotrac. And while deGromcontinued to blast 100-mph fastball after 100-mph fastball past hitterseven while missing turns here and there due to what were believed (by the Mets, at least) to be minor and disconnected injuries, he finally landed on the IL in early July with forearm inflammation. Of course, Wainwright and the Cardinals gave it the nothing to see here treatment. Waino certainly isn't a National Hall of Famer, but there is an argument for the Cardinals Hall of Fame for sure. After posting a 3.84 expected ERA in 2022, that metric jumped to 4.53 last season. 2023 Minute Media - All Rights Reserved. Moving to Adam Wainwright, the 40-year-old moved into second in pitching WAR (again, as calculated by Baseball Reference) last season, and that is where he will stay. May need surgery, but were not close to making any kind of decision on that. . Molina should make the Baseball Hall of Fame while Wainwright will probably fall short, but even so, we need to enjoy the final season with the longtime battery mates on the . The wins, strikeouts, ERA and innings were his best since 2014, which appeared to be the last full year of his peak. Kimbrel has an option for next year, which I think is likely to be exercised, so he wont be a free agent until 2023. Twenty-eight are enshrined in Cooperstown everyone except Wainwright and his fellow active hurlers Scherzer, Justin Verlander and Clayton Kershaw, the latter trio of whom are expected to glide in Cooperstown, as well as Roger Clemens, Tommy John, Luis Tiant, Jerry Koosman, Rick Reuschel, Kevin Brown and Vida Blue. Theyll defer. Yadier Molina, catcher (58.1 career fWAR (incl. Hes pitched for five teams in two different leagues, which is unusual for a pitcher with such a successful resume. Since then, hes made the All-Star team every year, led the league in wins on three occasions, and won a Cy Young award in each league. St. Louis Cardinals starting pitcher Adam Wainwright (50) sits in the dugout during the second inning of a baseball game between the Cardinals and the Pirates on Thursday, April, 7, 2022, at. But at least it wont be historically egregious. Likewise, his 42.4 bWAR is lower than the likes of Javier Vazquez, Al Leiter, and Frank Viola. Hes made two starts this spring, covering five total innings. It is possible that the same will be the case for a third Cardinals legend. Sabermetrics lover. Adam Wainwright in 2021 His lifetime ERA is 3.35 and has dropped nearly a tenth of a point over the last two seasons. To be clear, Adam Wainwright will certainly make it onto the Baseball Hall of Fame ballot, and based on the ease with which even seemingly fringe candidates are able to garner them, will probably get some votes. Only Price (2018) and Bumgarner (2019) have pitched enough to qualify for an ERA title once since the 2017 season. He went from having a 3.8 WAR in 2021 to 2.8 WAR last year. That being said, the question I had is what a retirement for Adam Wainwright . Hes never pitched for a World Series champion, and his career postseason statistics wont help him hes 2-8 with a 5.54 ERA, and hes gotten completely shelled on multiple occasions. MILWAUKEE Adam Wainwright joins Hall of Famer Bob Gibson as the only St. Louis Cardinals pitchers with 2,000 strikeouts, fanning Milwaukees Luis Urias in the fourth inning. Im going to disregard them for now, though all five should (and all but Sabathia probably will) make it eventually. Your existing password has not been changed. Here's how WBC offenses stack up with MLB's best, Scherzer tries to test pitch clock limits, gets balk, Jays 'playing it safe' after Guerrero tweaks knee, PitchCom-tipping: Loud device leaks Twins calls, Eflin's first start after $40M deal impresses Rays, Rangers' Leclerc to miss WBC with neck injury, Rockies' Rodgers may need surgery, '23 at risk, Rojas to withdraw from WBC, stay with Dodgers. What a career Adam Wainwright and Yadier Molina have shared together! Seconds later, told his numbers stack up well to wild card-era pitchers who are either already enshrined or have solid Hall of Fame cases, the famously good-natured Wainwright a night removed from saying he struck out Jeff McNeil looking to leave the bases loaded because I like nostalgia and he wanted to give Mets fans what they want grinned again. He surpassed 200 wins in 2019 (hes at 219 now), but with his strikeout rate dipping from 24.5% last year to 17.0% this year, hes still 201 strikeouts away from 3,000 and will probably need two seasons to reach the milestone instead of one. Guerrero had an RBI single during the first inning in his lone at-bat. In fairness, the Cardinals are correct in their initial thinking. While a Cy Young Award does not guarantee entry, it certainly helps. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports. And right now, he simply isnt there. Of course, theres no prorating stats when it comes to evaluating Hall of Fame candidates, and so Wainwright appeared to be in the company of the likes of Roy Oswalt Wainwrights most similar pitcher per Baseball-Reference.com Cliff Lee and former teammate Chris Carpenter as pitchers who had terrific peaks but lacked the length for serious Cooperstown consideration. Ad Choices Interestingly enough, he missed the entire 2011 season for the world champion St. Louis Cardinals, but he did play an integral role as a closer in the 2006 playoffs, throwing 9.2 scoreless innings in the playoffs. To be clear, Adam Wainwright will certainly make it onto the Baseball Hall of Fame ballot, and based on the ease with which even seemingly fringe candidates are able to garner them, will probably get some votes. Please contact us. Clayton Kershaw is this generations Sandy Koufax; he could retire right now and hed make the Hall of Fame on the first ballot. But compared to Molina or especially Pujols, Adam Wainwright is an underdog. But I want to consider Adam Wainwrights Hall of Fame case as a purely statistical candidate based on the statistics we currently have. Its a shame because he was off to a great start to his season, with 1.9 WAR and a 195 OPS+ in just 36 games. Dont hold your breath. Hall of Very Good. But he didnt become a full-time starter until his age-24 season, and hes now pitched for a quarter of the American League teams. Perhaps his national profile and general likability increases due to his seemingly inevitable second act as a broadcasterWainwright received rave reviews as a postseason broadcaster last yearand this media visibility helps him in a media-driven contest such as Hall of Fame balloting. He struck out 14 in his MLB debut and it seemed evident that he and Bryce Harper were going to lead the team to not only a World Series championship, but multiple titles. Queried about his Cooperstown credentials during the Cardinals visit to Citi Field last month, Wainwright grinned while seemingly acknowledging his counting numbers he has 184 wins and 2,004 strikeouts are not going to measure up to most of the starting pitchers enshrined in Cooperstown. It may rile up some traditionalists who are married to the idea pitchers must win 300 games and strike out 3,000 batters to be considered Hall-worthy. While he has never won a Cy Young Award, he was in the top 3 on four occasions. Required fields are marked *. Jim Bowden (The Athletic) was at Cardinal camp earlier this week and asked president of baseball operations John Mozeliak about Flahertys status. by Handedness, Seven Pitchers (and Some More Position Players) Who Have Most Helped Their Hall of Fame Cases in 2021. Adam Wainwright was born on the 30th of August, 1981. He'll retire with honors and accolades, becoming a fine coach and St. Louis area legend. Sabathia has a chance to become the 17th pitcher in history to record 3,000 strikeouts, which would give his candidacy a boost. Ive covered the Mets for a variety of outlets since 1997. 4th stage: The latest MRI showed something that was a little off, and we think its smart to do more tests and let him go get a second opinion. Even 250 wins is a rare accomplishment at this point. But if it wasn't for . After slaying the October beast that had haunted him for so many years, Kershaw pitched reasonably well through the first three months of the season, posting a 3.39 ERA and 2.98 FIP the latter his lowest mark since 2016 in 106.1 innings. 2020 has given us many poor and distasteful things, but it's giving me a glimpse into the future for some wild reason. Hes endured shoulder miseries and a strained oblique. But what is particularly interesting to examine with regards to Wainwright is that if Wainwright were elected, he would not even be close to the worst starting pitcher in Cooperstown. Hes racked up four seasons worth 67 WAR, plus a fifth at 5.7 and a sixth at 4.9; to improve that peak score substantially, he needs big seasons. Flaherty pitched 348 innings over the 2018 and 2019 seasons. Hes undergone Tommy John surgery, and his career total of 76 wins is underwhelming. The just-turned-40-year-old is currently in the midst of a late-career renaissance (2.97 ERA, 3.1 WAR), leaving many to wonder. I highly doubt it. Though hes overcome health scares and worked hard to expand his arsenal to become less reliant upon his cutter, Jansen has continued to take Dodgers fans on a rollercoaster this season. Its Wainwrights final MLB season before retirement, and (mostly) anything goes. All WAR (and WPA) figures here refer to the Baseball Reference version, unless otherwise indicated. It goes something like this . Follow him on Twitter @jay_jaffe and Mastodon @jay_jaffe. The 35-year-old has a career record of 169-89 with a 3.19 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 2,682 strikeouts. His monitor score is only an 87. Throughout his career, Wainwright has won a World Series and has been selected to the All-Star game three times. A Hall of Fame-bound pitcher is slated to take the mound in the top of the first inning of tonights NL wild card game. Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted
Thats an average of 174 innings per year. He is known for being a Baseball Player. Strasburgs 2.86 FIP suggests hes outperformed his 3.18 ERA, and his strikeout rate has been stellar. Wainwright was a three time All Star and two time Gold Glove winner, finishing in the top three of the NL Cy Young vote four times. Bumgarner has thrown 36 career innings in the World Series and allowed one earned run. Because he didnt debut until about five weeks before his 26th birthday, hes short in the two traditional stat categories, wins (77) and strikeouts (1,505), that tend to matter to voters, but as Ive argued, particularly if he can nab a third Cy Young, his will be something of a Koufaxian candidacy, where his career totals will matter less than the peak dominance. At least not for starting pitchers. Laurie Skrivan, St, Louis Post-Dispatch Here's a look at some other top Cardinals not in the Hall of Fame. One Wainwright is a lot closer to establishing than perhaps even he realizes. A two-homer, two-walk game on Wednesday added half a win to whats now his seventh-best season (4.5 WAR); with a big finish, he can approach the peak standard (42.7 WAR). Bernie has hosted radio shows in St. Louis, Dallas, Baltimore and Washington D.C. Bernie, his wife Kirsten and their cats reside in the Skinker-DeBaliviere neighborhood of St. Louis. Hes got three seasons of 3.0 WAR or less as part of his peak score and has a good shot at continuing his big strides in the next few years. I sincerely hope Flaherty is fine and that theres no reason for concern. If this is the end, Wainwright is leaving behind a solid career. Adam Wainwright biography. That seems to be a pretty good baseline.. Central Cincinnati Reds first baseman Joey Votto headlines the list of players in the National League West who are on track to have a chance to make it into baseball's Hall of Fame. His sinker averaged 84.9 mph, a 3.7 percent decrease from 2022. The slugger hit .274 with 32 homers and 97 RBIs in 160 games last year. Wainwright, however, has a much more finite timetablehe has announced that he is retiring. Even having covered the progress of 17 mid- and late-career players in these two installments, there are a handful who have posted JAWS gains that would fit on the leaderboards and about whom people have questions regarding their Hall progress. All picks and predictions are suggestions only. FASTBALLS JET ACROSS the baseball atmosphere in this era, booming into catchers' mitts at 100 mph or faster, and amid that sound of speed, there is Adam Wainwright's curveball. An error has occurred while trying to update your details. As for R-JAWS, hes entered the top 20, but as he approaches both his 34th birthday and free agency, the question of how many more years hell be trusted to handle the ninth inning looms. No Gavin Lux -- big problem. This doesnt mean that Wainwright definitely deserves to make itTim Hudson, who barely qualified for a second turn on the BBWAA ballot and didnt receive the 5% of votes needed to qualify for a third, ranks ahead of him, for instance. It's an ex-Chip's Worldand we're just picking up the pieces. At age 33, hes signed for another four years after this campaign, so he should have sufficient time to make a run at 3,000 strikeouts and another Cy Young award. I think Hall of Fame credentials might change a bit, Wainwright said. This is a question that has been frequently raised throughout the season as the Cardinals' 'Big Three' (Pujols, Wainwright, Molina) were constantly praised by St. Louis fans. Jacob deGrom and Max Scherzer just had seasons that good in 2018. Before going down, he made solid progress towards the 200-win and 3,000 strikeout milestones; hes at 184 and 2,653, respectively, the latter thanks to a 30.1% strikeout rate, his best since 2016. Its early in spring training. Velocity? Hes actually been tougher to hit than in any season since 2016, but his 14% walk rate has created more traffic than ever, and hes blown five of 35 save chances, though three of those were in consecutive outings in mid-July, accounting for seven of the 16 earned runs hes allowed. You may have created an account with another Rogers Media account that can be used to sign in here. . Hes also climbed from 12th to ninth in saves (372) and should easily move past Joe Nathan (377) and Dennis Eckersley (390) within the next year. He went 17-7 with 174 strikeouts and a 3.05 ERA in 32 starts spanning 206 1/3 innings the third-highest total in the majors. Hell need more to get his name in the HOF conversation, namely multiple Cy Young award victories and a pivotal role in a Boston World Series championship. Jansens 30 saves have pushed him to 14th on the all-time list, five away from the next rung and 26 away from cracking the top 10. Among those who are retired and eligible for Cooperstown, the 65th greatest starter of all-time is actually a pretty sufficiently big nameDwight Gooden. On one hand, its spring training and a lot of pitchers get pounded early in exhibition games as they prepare for the run-up to the regular season. What's the Dodgers' plan at shortstop? But its just not going to happen anymore the way pitchers are used now and the way free agency is and (how) careers go. With eight All-Star selections, three Cy Young awards, and a World Series ring, Kershaw is probably a lock for election already, but reaching and surpassing some major career milestones would further elevate him in the pantheon. While I dont think the statistical mistake that was inducting Rick Ferrell means that we should induct Mickey Tettleton, in my perfect world we would have sixteen Hall of Famers at the catcher position, though the ones who are in would be different (for instance, among the currently eligible, Gene Tenace would be there), and we would go from there. Always ranking QBs. None. Me talking about it is going to inflame some people Hes not a Hall of Famer! Wainwright said. Were not concerned. He trailed 5-0 on a pair of home runs by Tyrone Taylor, a grand slam in the first inning and a solo shot in the fourth. The Cardinals and starting pitching and injuries. While wins arent everything, Ive chosen to list them chronologically by career win total as a benchmark of evaluation. This year he was so good that he accrued 5.1 WAR (including 0.6 on the offensive side) in his 15 starts before going down, his fourth-highest total. The Hall of Stats was built by Adam Darowski, Jeffrey Chupp, and Michael Berkowitz.Follow the Hall of Stats on Twitter or Facebook.The Hall of Stats is open sourced on GitHub.All data is also open and available as a free download. Those skills may eventually result in a spot in the Hall of Fame. He had a 4.99 ERA in his last 11 starts in 2022 including a 7.22 ERA in his final six starts. For starters, no pitcher can stay that good for that long. Will this happen? and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. "Adam Wainwright is going to have such an interesting Hall of Fame case once he retires." - Connor Looker Throughout his career, Wainwright has won a World Series and has been selected to.
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